The probability that a 30-year old white male will live another year is .99842. What premium would an company charge to break even on a 1-year million dollar term policy?

 
  • ksoren 3:26 am on September 6, 2010

    The probability that the man would die within one year is 1-.99842 = .00158
    So if he dies, the insurance company will have to pay 1,000,000 and if he lives they pay nothing.
    So the expected value of what the insurance company will have to pay is:
    $1,000,000*.00158 + $0*.99842 = $1580
    So the premium should be $1580

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